ThruxBets

The last day of April and the flat really is about to kick into action for the brilliant few months between the Guineas and the Ebor. We’re not quite there yet, though, so it’s over to Costa Del Redcar for a selection that may see me end the month in the black …

3.58 Redcar I like the chances of Miss Rainbow but I’m concerned about the ground for her and fear it may be just a touch too firm (all wins on good). Beerwah is currently the favourite but for me at 15/8 is way too short for one who’s only 1/15 and that win was on soft. So the one I’ve landed on at a double figure price is ZUFFOLO for Michael Dods. The 6yo may not get his own way at the front of affairs and has been in real iffy form of late. But that does mean that when you take Rhys Elliot’s claim into account, he’s now lurking – by some way – on a career low mark of effectively 52. This is 5lbs lower than his last win on the AW, 10lbs better off than his last run over C&D and both 5lbs and 19lbs better off than his wins over C&D. Obviously there’s a huge chance – as there is with all these low grade races – that he just doesn’t fancy it, but he might just pop up today.

ZUFFOLO // 0.5pt E/W @ 12/1 (Paddy Power) BOG